Tackling global warming

The Hindu , Saturday, February 04, 2006
Correspondent : Staff Reporter
According to the World Meteorological Organisation, 2005 missed becoming the warmest year on record by the merest fraction of a degree Celsius. The past decade, 1996-2005, is the warmest on record (if 1996 is taken out of the calculation). The earth's surface has warmed by about 0.6 degrees C since the late 1800s, and the temperature is expected to increase by another 1.4 degrees to 5.8 degrees C by 2100. The culprit is `greenhouse gases,' notably carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. These are accumulating to unprecedented levels in the atmosphere as a result of profligate burning of fossil fuels, industrial processes, farming activities, and changing land use. The greenhouse gases act like a blanket around the Earth, trapping too much of the heat that would otherwise have escaped into space. If the Earth warmed further by more than one degree C, it would be warmer than it has been in a million years. James Hansen, a doyen of the science of climate change, recently warned that if carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels continue rising at about two per cent a year (as in the past decade), the additional warming would be two to three degrees C this century, implying changes that would mean practically a different planet. Global warming is likely to trigger disastrous changes in rainfall and snowfall patterns. More violent storms, floods, and droughts could occur. Melting polar icecaps would raise sea-levels and inundate vast areas. Already, there are indications that glaciers in the mountains of all continents, which feed many important rivers, are receding.

There is a growing global consensus about the threat posed by climate change. The disagreement is on how to go about altering human activities that unleash greenhouse gases. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, signed by 189 countries (including India), set the goal of stopping dangerous human interference with the climate system. Under the subsequent Kyoto Protocol, most industrialised countries committed themselves to legally binding cuts in their total greenhouse gas emissions. However, the United States, which emits much greater quantities of greenhouse gases than any other country, and Australia have refused to ratify the Protocol. India, China, and other developing countries have argued they cannot accept binding cuts in their greenhouse gas emissions without being provided suitable technology and adequate financial help. But doing nothing cannot be an option for developing countries, which according to one study will be putting out more greenhouse gases than the wealthy nations by 2020. India can do much more by way of establishing good public transport in all important cities and towns — making the railways the preferred mode for long-distance transport of goods and encouraging the development and adoption of cleaner technologies as well as of renewable energy. This process of change must receive wholehearted support from the public and the political system.

 
SOURCE : The Hindu, Saturday, February 4, 2006
 


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