Weather extremes human-induced, says UN

The Asian Age , Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Correspondent :
The Philippines’ devastating Typhoon Haiyan and drought in Australia are among recent weather extremes consistent with man-made climate change, the UN’s weather agency said on Monday.

“Many of the extreme events of 2013 were consistent with what we would expect as a result of human-induced climate change,” Michel Jarraud, secretary-general of the World Meterological Organisation (WMO), said as he released his agency’s annual climate report.

“We saw heavier precipitation, more intense heat, and more damage from storm surges and coastal flooding as a result of sea level rise as Typhoon Haiyan so tragically demonstrated in the Philippines,” he added.

While individual extremes cannot be pinned on man-made climate change alone, due to a complex web of factors, Jarraud said they are part of a clear trend.

He pointed to data from Australia showing that record heat there last year would have been “virtually impossible” without human emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases.

Other 2013 weather events flagged by the agency included extreme cold in Europe and the United States, floods in India, Nepal, northern China, Russia, central Europe, Sudan and Somalia, snow in West Asia, and droughts in southern China, Brazil, southern Africa and the western United States.

Extreme cold in no way undermines the idea of global warming, Jarraud said, noting that climate change by definition skews weather patterns.

“When some people say global warming has stopped, what is now a record cold year is actually warmer than any year before 1998,” he said.

Phenomena such as volcanic eruptions or the El Nino and La Nina weather patterns in the Pacific have always influenced temperatures and sparked disasters, but human activity is an accelerator, Jarraud explained.

“There is no standstill in global warming,” he said.

“Levels of these greenhouse gases are at record levels, meaning that our atmosphere and oceans will continue to warm for centuries to come. The laws of physics are non-negotiable,” he added.

The report said 2013 tied with 2007 as the sixth warmest on record.

The average global land and ocean surface temperature for the year was 14.5 degrees Celsius 0.5 C above the 1961-1990 average and 0.03 C higher than the average for 2001-2010, which was already the warmest decade on record.

Thirteen of the 14 warmest years on record occurred in the 21st century, and each of the last three decades has been warmer than the last.

Researchers have long warned that the chance is ebbing fast to limit global warming to 2.0 C over pre-Industrial Revolution levels the UN target.

“We cannot say that there is a magic number where below it, everything is OK, and beyond, it’s a disaster,” warned Jarraud.

 
SOURCE : http://www.asianage.com/international/weather-extremes-human-induced-says-un-636
 


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